Comments on: The Pull of Youth http://www.davidjmiller.org/2008/the-pull-of-youth/ Recording Bits and Pieces of Heaven in Theory and Practice Wed, 28 Jul 2010 17:53:00 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 By: David http://www.davidjmiller.org/2008/the-pull-of-youth/comment-page-1/#comment-6780 David Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:58:37 +0000 http://www.davidjmiller.org/the-pull-of-youth/#comment-6780 Could your provide a link where I could read more from Michael Barone? (Assuming you have something more specific than <a href="http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone/" rel="nofollow">his blog</a>.) This talk about changing generations is not new (I've <a href="http://www.davidjmiller.org/a-new-generation/" rel="nofollow">talked about similar commentary</a>) but it sure fits with the patterns outlined in <a href="http://www.fourthturning.com" rel="nofollow">The Fourth Turning</a>. Could your provide a link where I could read more from Michael Barone? (Assuming you have something more specific than his blog.)

This talk about changing generations is not new (I’ve talked about similar commentary) but it sure fits with the patterns outlined in The Fourth Turning.

]]> By: Reach Upward http://www.davidjmiller.org/2008/the-pull-of-youth/comment-page-1/#comment-6779 Reach Upward Tue, 08 Jan 2008 15:20:41 +0000 http://www.davidjmiller.org/the-pull-of-youth/#comment-6779 Using Michael Barone's thoughts as a platform, it seems that unless there are other overriding concerns, about once every 16 years (as a new generation of voters comes to the fore) voters are willing to transfer power from the old guard to a new generation. In '92 it was Bill Clinton. In '76 it was Carter. In '60 it was Kennedy. In '44 we were still fighting WWII (overriding concerns), so the shift didn't happen. In '28 it was Hoover (who had never held elected office). And so on. This is not a perfect theory. And there are other factors at play that could easily explain some of these victories. But if Barone is right, McCain's win in NH today (assuming that happens) won't ultimately help him because the nation may be looking to pass the baton to a new generation. More than anything else, this may provide the push Obama needs to capture the White House. I don't know if Huckabee is organized enough to pull it off, but it will be interesting to watch. Using Michael Barone’s thoughts as a platform, it seems that unless there are other overriding concerns, about once every 16 years (as a new generation of voters comes to the fore) voters are willing to transfer power from the old guard to a new generation. In ’92 it was Bill Clinton. In ’76 it was Carter. In ’60 it was Kennedy. In ’44 we were still fighting WWII (overriding concerns), so the shift didn’t happen. In ’28 it was Hoover (who had never held elected office). And so on.

This is not a perfect theory. And there are other factors at play that could easily explain some of these victories. But if Barone is right, McCain’s win in NH today (assuming that happens) won’t ultimately help him because the nation may be looking to pass the baton to a new generation. More than anything else, this may provide the push Obama needs to capture the White House. I don’t know if Huckabee is organized enough to pull it off, but it will be interesting to watch.

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